Breaking
One in six eligible voters in the United States is Latino: 39 million in 2026, according to Pew Research Center. In several races, that vote decides. Here is how much it weighs in each state and how far it would have to move to flip the result.
16% of the 2026 electorate; 5.25 million more than in 2022.
6.7 million eligible Latino voters.
1.4 million.
3.8 million.
Latino share of each state's eligible voters, 2024. Only states with a figure published in the report are colored.
My own analysis: how many points the margin among Latino voters would have to move to erase the lead the polls show today, all else equal. The fewer points, the more the Latino vote decides.
My own analysis with public data. Every figure carries its source and date. Not investment or betting advice.