Breaking
36 of the 50 are on the ballot. Here is the no-poll model count, the polling count and other public forecasts, with each race ranked from closest to safest.
Color: probability from the polling forecast; where there are no polls, the model. Pale states do not elect a governor this year. Tap a state to see the race.
My own analysis with public data. Every figure carries its source and date. Not investment or betting advice.